Uncertainty

Parenthood decisions in uncertain times: Experimental evidence from four countries

2026-07-28·879 字·2 分钟

Polihot 比较政治政治行为 Fertility Intentions Uncertainty Conjoint Experiment Cross-National Demographic Decline

PNAS 123/31 pp. e2601690123-e2601690123 2026-07-28 Original Parenthood decisions in uncertain times: Experimental evidence from four countries Arnstein Aassve, Letizia Mencarini, Chen Peng, Samuel Plach, Alonso Roman Amarales, Maria Letizia Tanturri

Long‐run confidence: Estimating uncertainty when using long‐run multipliers

2026-03-07·548 字·2 分钟

Polihot 研究方法 Bayesian Estimation Long-Run Multiplier Time-Series Uncertainty Dynamic Models

AJPS — 2026-03-07 Original Long‐run confidence: Estimating uncertainty when using long‐run multipliers Mark David Nieman, David A. M. Peterson

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