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政治行为

Attitudes Toward Electoral System Reform and Party System Change in the U.S.

·540 字·2 分钟
Polihot 美国政治 政治行为 Electoral Reform Party Systems Polarization Conjoint Experiment Public Opinion
APSR — pp. 1-24 2026-05-14 Original Attitudes Toward Electoral System Reform and Party System Change in the U.S. QUINTON MAYNE, SHANE P. SINGH Abstract Electoral reform efforts in the United States are widespread, yet little is known about how Americans evaluate alternative electoral systems or their consequences. We address this gap using conjoint and vignette experiments to study how Americans assess electoral reforms based on their implications for the number of parties and the degree of ideological polarization in the U.S. House of Representatives. Focusing on democratic voice, governability, and responsiveness, our designs emphasize party-system outcomes rather than technical institutional features that may be difficult for citizens to understand. We find that Americans are strongly averse to reforms that generate pronounced legislative polarization, even when it might be expected to enhance democratic voice. Findings pertaining to multipartism are more mixed, with some evidence that respondents respond positively to moderate departures from the two-party system. Perceived gains in voice and responsiveness do not generally compensate for losses in governability, except under arrangements that avoid polarization.

Procedural Polarization: How Election Rules Shape Voters’ Confidence

·590 字·2 分钟
Polihot 美国政治 政治行为 Procedural Polarization Election Rules Voter Confidence Survey Experiment U.S. Elections
APSR — pp. 1-15 2026-05-05 Original Procedural Polarization: How Election Rules Shape Voters’ Confidence JOSHUA D. CLINTON Abstract Prior research demonstrates voters’ confidence in elections depends on whether their preferred candidate wins, but does agreement with the electoral rules being used also matter? Leveraging growing procedural polarization in election laws, public opinion data from 2008 to 2024, and a large-scale survey experiment conducted before the 2024 election, I show that agreement with election procedures matters for voter confidence beyond well-established effects related to partisan control and electoral outcomes. Observational and experimental analyses consistently reveal that voters are less likely to express confidence in election results conducted using procedures they oppose. The effects are particularly large for voter identification laws and among Republicans and independents. The findings underscore a tension in American federalism: as states increasingly adopt divergent electoral rules aligned with co-partisan preferences, partisan divides in electoral confidence may deepen. If so, procedural responsiveness to partisan preferences may undermine electoral confidence and, in turn, perceptions of electoral legitimacy.

Who Benefits? How Gender Shapes the Perceived Deservingness of Welfare Claimants

·101 字·1 分钟
Polihot 政治行为 公共政策 Deservingness Welfare Attitudes Gender Public Opinion
JOP — pp. 000-000 2026-05-04 Original Who Benefits? How Gender Shapes the Perceived Deservingness of Welfare Claimants Dot Sawler Abstract （原文未提供摘要） 中文 谁受益？性别如何塑造对福利申领者应得性的认知 Dot Sawler 摘要 原文未提供摘要 关键词 性别、福利申领者、应得性、福利态度、公众舆论、社会政策 DOI: 10.1086/736802 查看原文 →

The Mobilizing Potential of Mass Emigration: Experimental Evidence from Honduras

·103 字·1 分钟
Polihot 比较政治 政治行为 Emigration Mobilization Experiment Honduras
JOP — 2026-04-29 Original The Mobilizing Potential of Mass Emigration: Experimental Evidence from Honduras Jesse Acevedo, Francisca Castro Abstract （原文未提供摘要） 中文 大规模移民的动员潜力：来自洪都拉斯的实验证据 Jesse Acevedo, Francisca Castro 摘要 原文未提供摘要 关键词 大规模移民、移民、政治动员、实验证据、洪都拉斯、比较政治

Propaganda of Democratic Flaws and Its Impact on Regime Evaluations in Autocracies

·105 字·1 分钟
Polihot 比较政治 政治行为 Authoritarianism Propaganda Regime Legitimacy Public Opinion
JOP — 2026-04-28 Original Propaganda of Democratic Flaws and Its Impact on Regime Evaluations in Autocracies Rex Weiye Deng Abstract （原文未提供摘要） 中文 民主缺陷的宣传及其对威权政体中政权评价的影响 Rex Weiye Deng 摘要 原文未提供摘要 关键词 威权主义、政治宣传、政权评价、民主缺陷、政治合法性、公众舆论

Partisanship, Deservingness, and the Attitudinal Policy Feedback Process for Social Policy

·767 字·2 分钟
Polihot 公共政策 政治行为 Policy Feedback Partisanship Deservingness Social Policy Political Attitudes
PSJ — 2026-04-26 Original Partisanship, Deservingness, and the Attitudinal Policy Feedback Process for Social Policy Chris Faricy, Christopher Ellis Abstract ABSTRACT In an era of identity‐based partisan polarization, we examine whether social policies can still generate positive attitudinal feedback among beneficiaries. Drawing on nationally representative survey data, we demonstrate that partisanship conditions the policy feedback process through divergent perceptions of group deservingness. Democrats attribute economic vulnerability to systemic injustice and view policy beneficiaries as hardworking and sympathetic, while Republicans attribute poverty to individual failings and view beneficiaries more negatively. We show that Democrats evaluate both policy beneficiaries and taxpayers favorably, whereas Republicans sharply differentiate between these groups, viewing themselves as “makers” contributing to a system that benefits undeserving “takers.” These differences shape emotional responses to program use with Democrats reporting positive feelings about using social policies, while Republicans express more negative emotions. Even after controlling for actual policy usage and demographics, partisan gaps in attitudes toward social programs persist across diverse policy types. Experimental evidence reveals that partisan framing affects non‐users more than beneficiaries, with Democrats more responsive to group‐based cues. Our findings suggest that in American politics, partisan identities serve as powerful interpretive filters that prevent similar policy experiences from generating widespread positive political attitudes, thereby challenging the assumption that policies create new politics.