政治行为

APSR — pp. 1-9 2026-07-28 Original Still Instrumentally Inclusive STUART J. TURNBULL-DUGARTE, ALBERTO LÓPEZ ORTEGA Abstract Do individuals in Western democracies shift their views on LGBT+ inclusion when exposed to opposition from Muslim out-groups? And is this “homonationalist” responsiveness stronger among anti-immigration individuals? Our article “Instrumentally inclusive [...]” addressed these questions using representative data from Britain (Study 1) and crowd-sourced data from Spain (Study 2). We revisit Study 2 in response to concerns about post-stratification weighting a convenience sample and erroneously inconsistent use of robust standard errors. Varying population reference parameters, weight caps, variance estimators, subgroup definitions, and covariate adjustments, we find strong support for the original findings. Neither reasonable alternative weighting schemes nor corrected variance estimators substantively change the results. In fact, the originally published point estimates are equal to or smaller than the median across alternative specifications. Consistent with the Article, we find that treatment increases support for LGBT+ inclusion in Spain, without consistent identifiable variation by immigration attitudes.

PNAS 123/31 pp. e2601690123-e2601690123 2026-07-28 Original Parenthood decisions in uncertain times: Experimental evidence from four countries Arnstein Aassve, Letizia Mencarini, Chen Peng, Samuel Plach, Alonso Roman Amarales, Maria Letizia Tanturri

CQ — pp. 1-17 2026-07-23 Original Individualization, Relationships and Collective Action Among Migrants in China: Evidence from Rent Strikes Mengfei Ning, Xiaohong Jin Abstract Abstract Based on a field study of the COVID-19 rent reduction actions of a group of self-employed migrants in Zhengzhou, China, this study examines how individualization shaped the relational networks of the migrants, which in turn dynamically influenced the trajectory and outcome of their collective action. The group’s collective action was shaped not by a single relationship but by an instrumental relational network woven from fragmented intra-group ties, fragile local connections, unstable market relations and arms-length government–migrant interactions. The “relational duality” framework proposed here reveals this network’s dual role in contention: shared experiences of external exclusion catalysed internal solidarity and short-term mobilization; however, the network’s inherent instrumentality and vulnerability rendered it highly susceptible to adversaries’ strategic activation of latent competitive boundaries through tactics like co-optation and relational repression, thus triggering a rapid dissolution of solidarity that resulted in the protest fragmenting. These findings enrich an understanding of the micro-dynamics of contentious politics in China and offer a fresh lens for analysing collective action among similar groups that undergo individualization.

PNAS 123/30 pp. e2608203123-e2608203123 2026-07-20 Original Public responses to atrocities depend on partisanship and context, not legal labels Yphtach Lelkes, E.M. Mitchell, Erin Walk, Sean Westwood

AJPS — 2026-07-19 Original Electoral contests over voter beliefs Dan Alexander, Alexander Evert Abstract Abstract Voter perceptions of candidates are the substrate on which campaigns act. It is costly, however, for voters to devote enough attention to politics to change their own perceptions of candidates. This paper views campaigns—and the time, effort, and money they expend—as subsidizing rationally inattentive voters' adoption of new beliefs about candidate platforms. We employ an all‐pay contest to model costly competition over voter perceptions. In our baseline model, campaigns seek to improve perceptions of their own candidates. In a variant, candidates engage in negative campaigning. Among other results, we observe platform divergence under more reasonable informational assumptions than previous spatial models, replacing candidate uncertainty about voters with voter uncertainty about candidates. This model serves as a bridge between behavioral research on campaigns and theoretical literature on elections, offering a richer set of empirical predictions while preserving the insights of the canonical Downsian framework as a limiting case.

AJPS — 2026-07-19 Original Contesting repression in divided democracies: Can counternarratives reduce support for police violence? Yanilda María González, Natán Skigin

JOP — 2026-07-17 Original Open-Ended Survey Responses and Political Conceptualizations in a Polarized Era Maxwell Allamong, Benjamin Beutel, Jongwoo Jeong, Paul Kellstedt Abstract （原文未提供摘要） 中文 极化时代的开放式调查回答与政治概念化

JOP — 2026-07-17 Original Media, Electoral Accountability, and Partisan Polarization Daniel J. Moskowitz Abstract （原文未提供摘要） 中文 媒体、选举问责与党派极化 Daniel J. Moskowitz 摘要 原文未提供摘要 关键词 媒体、选举问责、党派极化、政治极化、选民行为、政党认同 DOI: 10.1086/743211 查看原文 →

JCC — pp. 1-18 2026-07-16 Original Cultivated Memories and Selective Nationalism in China: Evidence on the United States and Russia Yu Liu, Tuo Chen Abstract Despite China’s similarly complex modern relationships with both the United States and Russia, contemporary Chinese public opinion is far more favorable toward Russia than toward the United States. Why? Combining observational analysis, survey experiments, and conventional regression, we argue that state regulation of collective memory about the two countries plays a key role in producing this selective nationalism. Using original data from two survey experiments in China, we show that exposure to more balanced historical information, rather than the one-sided narratives promoted by the state, reduces both anti-Americanism and pro-Russian sentiment. We also find that educational attainment, as a vehicle for political indoctrination, is associated with stronger anti-American and pro-Russian views. Our study highlights memory engineering as a powerful instrument of political misinformation.

JOP — 2026-07-15 Original Exclusion in Political Polling and Voter Demobilization: The Case of Asian Americans Chan K. Nathan, Joyce H. Nguy Abstract （原文未提供摘要） 中文 政治民调中的排斥与选民去动员：以亚裔美国人为例