政治行为

JOP 88/2 pp. 888-892 2026-04-01 Original Between Withdrawal and Engagement: Disentangling the Effects of COVID-19 on Turnout Kevin T. Morris Abstract This project marks the first test of the household-level turnout effects of living with someone who died from COVID-19. Drawing on policy feedback and threat literatures, I argue that the theoretical effects of close COVID contact are unclear. I link death records with the registered voter file to identity Americans who lived with a decedent, leveraging a triple-differences design to distinguish the effect of household COVID deaths on turnout from non-COVID ones in Minnesota, North Carolina, and Washington State. Household COVID deaths reduced turnout in all three states, though the effect was different (and larger) than non-COVID household deaths only in Washington. I thus conclude that while COVID deaths clearly lowered household turnout, they operated largely through the opportunity costs associated with household deaths more generally rather than a distinctly political response to the government’s handling of the pandemic.

JOP — 2026-04-01 Original Against the Wind: The Radical Right, Renewable Energy, and the Politics of the Green Transition Pauliina Patana, Held Alexander Abstract （原文未提供摘要） 中文 逆风而行：激进右翼、可再生能源与绿色转型政治

CQ 266 pp. 435-452 2026-03-30 Original Political Satire and the Decline of Discourse Quality: Evidence from China’s Online Public Sphere

JOP — 2026-03-30 Original Elite Rhetoric and the Running Tally of Party-Group Linkages Christoffer Hentzer Dausgaard, Frederik Hjorth Abstract （原文未提供摘要） 中文 精英修辞与政党—群体联系的动态记录 Christoffer Hentzer Dausgaard, Frederik Hjorth

AJPS — 2026-03-25 Original Mutual restraint in nondemocratic legislatures Sarah Hummel Abstract Abstract Nondemocratic regimes sometimes benefit from tolerating the expression of critical opinions and visions for policy in their legislatures. Doing so enables them to gather important information about societal preferences, to co‐opt potential challengers, and to address other threats to their control. In these cases, regimes and deputies exhibit mutual restraint: deputies respect regime‐set limits on their freedom to express critical opinions, while regimes refrain from punishing deputies for expressing negative views when the stakes are acceptably low. By examining both the responsiveness of individual deputies and how regimes police the limits of acceptable behavior, we are better able to identify both the functions and strengths of nondemocratic legislatures. I illustrate these dynamics using data about deputy voting behavior and legislative success in the Kyrgyz Jogorku Kenesh (2016–2020).

PSJ — 2026-03-24 Original Democratic Values in Citizen Participation: What Citizens Prioritize in Participation Take Sipma, Frank Hendriks Abstract ABSTRACT Citizen participation is often initiated to strengthen democracy. While participatory innovations are typically assessed through normative frameworks emphasizing democratic values, little is known about which of these values are prioritized by citizens. This research note presents findings from an original survey conducted in the Netherlands in 2024, investigating which democratic values citizens prioritize in the context of citizen participation. Drawing on Hendriks' (2022) democratic values typology including inclusiveness, process fairness, efficaciousness, resilience and counterbalance, we operationalize five value statements and asked respondents to rank them. Citizens most frequently prioritize efficacious outcomes and fair procedures, while inclusiveness, resilience, and counterbalance receive less emphasis. This pattern highlights the central role of both effective governance and procedural fairness in citizen participation. Value priorities nevertheless vary across citizens: inclusiveness, understood as the inclusion of diverse perspectives, is more strongly emphasized by left‐wing citizens, whereas counterbalance is primarily prioritized by politically dissatisfied citizens, but remains a lower overall priority. These findings offer an exploratory first step in linking normative frameworks on democratic values with how citizens themselves prioritize those values.

APSR — pp. 1-20 2026-03-23 Original The Effects of Exposure to New Electoral Rules: Field Experimental Evidence from Sierra Leone AVI AHUJA, GWYNETH MCCLENDON Abstract How do electoral rules influence voters? We build on existing research that has examined voter, rather than elite, reactions to electoral rules and implement a field experiment around a switch from single-member plurality rules to multi-member closed-list proportional rules (PR) in Sierra Leone, expanding the study of electoral rules’ influence on voters further into the Global South. We find that exposure to multimember district/PR increased women’s commitment to voting and decreased both men’s and women’s support for particularistic campaign appeals in this context. These results likely flow from voters’ perceptions of whether politicians are accountable to parties or to voters under different systems, rather than from increased party competition, new party entry, a clear switch to programmatic party competition, or increased trust in elections. We discuss the implications for studying electoral rules in clientelistic democracies.

APSR — pp. 1-22 2026-03-23 Original Do Elites Know Best? Candidate Selection and Policy Implementation in Postindependence Tanzania JEREMY BOWLES Abstract How do candidate selection processes shape policy outcomes? Studying Tanzania’s initial single-party legislative elections, I assess how electing candidates preferred by party elites affected policy implementation, which emphasized rural development during this period. Leveraging the deterministic assignment of ballot symbols—which was orthogonal to candidate characteristics but had large electoral effects—finds that their election substantially increased the supply of salient local public goods. Assembling novel candidate-level data, I document that elites prioritized candidates’ national prominence while voters prioritized their local ties. Rather than representing misaligned incentives, the results are consistent with elites, in an incipient regime, more quickly understanding which characteristics would matter for candidates’ performance in office. Beyond highlighting novel conditions under which elite-led candidate selection facilitates responsiveness, the results underscore the distributive consequences of candidate selection even in nondemocratic settings.

JOP — 2026-03-20 Original Sentiment on the Campaign Trail: Gender Differences in Candidates’ Use of Emotive Language

AJPS — 2026-03-19 Original You and whose economy? Group‐based retrospection in economic voting