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Who Sets the Agenda? Diplomatic Experience and Small Power Influence in the United Nations

WP 78/3 pp. 419-458 2026-07-01

Original

Who Sets the Agenda? Diplomatic Experience and Small Power Influence in the United Nations

Sabrina B. Arias

Abstract

abstract: Why are some small powers effective in setting the UN agenda, even in the face of large power opposition? The author argues that small states are more likely to be represented by experienced diplomats, who, over time, accumulate influence that can be deployed to shape the international organization’s agenda. To test these claims, the author assembled a data set of proposed agenda items and the tenure of all states’ ambassadors from 1946 to 2018 and conducted interviews with diplomats from forty-nine states. The author finds that smaller powers have more diplomatic experience than larger powers; that individuals with more diplomatic experience are more successful at agenda setting even when accounting for material power; and that random shocks to ambassadorial tenure, such as the death of an ambassador, have negative effects on diplomatic experience and effectiveness. These insights contribute to understanding the role of individuals and diplomacy in international relations and the ways in which small powers influence international politics.

中文

谁设定议程?外交经验与联合国中的小国影响力

Sabrina B. Arias

摘要

为什么一些小国即使面临大国反对,仍能有效设定联合国议程?作者认为,小国更可能由经验丰富的外交官代表,这些外交官随着时间推移积累了可用来塑造国际组织议程的影响力。为检验这些主张,作者构建了一个包含1946年至2018年所有国家大使任期与所提议程项目的数据集,并对来自49个国家的外交官进行了访谈。作者发现,较小国家比大国拥有更多外交经验;即便控制物质实力,拥有更多外交经验的个人在议程设定上更为成功;而对大使任期的随机冲击,例如大使去世,会对外交经验和效能产生负面影响。这些见解有助于理解个人与外交在国际关系中的作用,以及小国影响国际政治的方式。

关键词

议程设定、联合国、小国、外交经验、大使、国际组织、国际关系