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The Effects of Policy Success Versus Failure Narratives

PSJ 54/3

2026-08-04

Original

The Effects of Policy Success Versus Failure Narratives

Sarah Pralle, Emily Thorson

Abstract

ABSTRACT While public policies usually have mixed effects, succeeding at some aspects and failing at others, this nuance is often lost in public discourse when political actors like advocacy groups and politicians strategically emphasize either the successes or failures of particular policies. For example, advocacy groups often emphasize the failures of existing policy with the goal of galvanizing public attention and concern. However, little empirical evidence exists assessing the actual causal impact of these different approaches on public attitudes. This paper presents the results of a pre‐registered experiment in which participants watch a TikTok‐style short news video about either the success or failure of one of three different public policies and then are asked about their trust in government to handle the issue, their perceptions of the issue's importance, and their feelings of collective efficacy. While success and failure narratives are both effective at raising an issue's salience, focusing on a policy's failure has the downstream effect of increasing cynicism about the government's ability to address the issue.

中文

政策成功叙事与失败叙事的效应

Sarah Pralle, Emily Thorson

摘要

摘要 尽管公共政策通常会产生混合效应,即在某些方面取得成功而在另一些方面遭遇失败,但当倡导团体和政治人物等政治行为体策略性地强调特定政策的成功或失败时,这种细微差别往往在公共话语中丧失。例如,倡导团体常常强调现行政策的失败,以激发公众关注和担忧。然而,评估这些不同策略对公众态度的实际因果影响的经验证据仍然很少。本文报告了一项预注册实验的结果:参与者观看一段TikTok风格的短视频新闻,内容涉及三项不同公共政策中某一项的成功或失败,随后被询问其对政府处理该议题的信任、对该议题重要性的感知,以及其集体效能感。虽然成功叙事和失败叙事都能有效提升议题显著性,但聚焦政策失败会产生下游效应,即加剧公众对政府解决该议题能力的怀疑。

关键词

政策叙事、政策成功、政策失败、公众态度、议题显著性、政府信任、集体效能、预注册实验