Original
Can stimulating ownership increase fertility: Evidence from housing interventions in China
Abstract
Declining fertility and the emergence of very low TFR's in the Asian economies has increased the focus on how to change the direction of the fertility trend. Several countries in Europe and Asia have explored a variety of stimulus packages to increase the overall TFR. In this research we review those policies and examine one of those interventions which has the potential to stimulate fertility-the role of access to housing. The core of housing approaches to stimulating fertility is to make housing more accessible and to use various forms of credit assistance with the aim of making ownership easier and more attractive to young families. The research asks how effective are these approaches to reversing the decline in fertility? And, are they a solution to very low fertility? The results provide some evidence that the focus on housing stimulus packages may increase fertility although most successfully for socioeconomically advantaged households.
中文
刺激所有权能否提高生育率：来自中国住房干预的证据
摘要
在亚洲经济体中，生育率下降和极低总和生育率（TFR）的出现，使人们更加关注如何改变生育率趋势的方向。欧洲和亚洲的一些国家已经探索了多种刺激方案，以提高总体TFR。在本研究中，我们回顾了这些政策，并考察了其中一项可能刺激生育率的干预措施——住房可及性的作用。以住房途径刺激生育率的核心，是使住房更容易获得，并利用各种形式的信贷援助，以使年轻家庭更容易、更有意愿获得住房所有权。本研究询问：这些方法在扭转生育率下降方面效果如何？它们是否是极低生育率的解决方案？结果表明，一些证据显示，以住房刺激方案为重点可能提高生育率，但对社会经济条件优越的家庭最为成功。
关键词
生育率、住房干预、住房所有权、中国、总和生育率、刺激政策、信贷援助、家庭政策