Original
Immigration, Public Housing, and Support for the French National Front
Abstract
In Europe, urban peripheries that host public housing estates are often inhab-ited by a diverse population, including many migrants. In those places, far-rightparties enjoy growing electoral support. This paper asks: Can expansionary publichousing policies boost the electoral support of far-right parties in diverse communi-ties? I exploit the staggered roll-out of a French public housing policy to show thatresidents of municipalities with large pre-policy immigration shares vote more forthe National Front in response to public housing expansion. The opposite happensin municipalities with low pre-policy exposure to immigration. The paper investi-gates three potential mechanisms: compositional changes, material grievances, andlatent group conflict. Separate empirical analyses of sociodemographic, housing,and newspaper data suggest that the third mechanism may drive the results. Thepaper further discusses the theoretical and practical implications of these findingsfor understanding the challenges of adapting the welfare state to increasingly diversesocieties.
中文
移民、公共住房与对法国国民阵线的支持
摘要
在欧洲,拥有公共住房小区的城市边缘地带往往居住着多元化人口,其中包括许多移民。在这些地方,极右翼政党的选举支持率不断上升。本文提出的问题是:扩张性公共住房政策是否会提升多元社区中极右翼政党的选举支持?我利用法国一项公共住房政策的分阶段推出,表明在政策实施前移民占比较高的市镇,其居民会因公共住房扩张而更多投票支持国民阵线。而在政策实施前移民接触程度较低的市镇,情况则相反。本文考察了三种潜在机制:构成变化、物质不满和潜在群体冲突。对社会人口、住房和报纸数据的分别实证分析表明,第三种机制可能驱动了这些结果。本文进一步讨论了这些发现对理解福利国家适应日益多元化社会所面临挑战的理论与实践意涵。
关键词
公共住房、移民、法国国民阵线、极右翼政党、选举支持、群体冲突、福利国家