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The Political Economy of Local Government Debt Expansion in China

JCC pp. 1-18 2026-04-05

Original

The Political Economy of Local Government Debt Expansion in China

Pan Liu, Jie Mao, Min Dai

Abstract

Since the 1990s, China has strengthened the Communist Party of China’s leadership over local People’s Congresses through a dual-appointment system, under which Party secretaries also serve as chairpersons of People’s Congresses. This article argues that this system enhances Party influence over legislative decision-making while further reducing institutional constraints, enabling local Party secretaries to pursue career-oriented agendas such as borrowing for infrastructure to boost economic growth. Under a growth-first development paradigm, this arrangement has fueled the rapid expansion of local government debt. Overall, these findings offer a political economy explanation for the dynamics of local government debt in China, and underscore the importance of stronger legal and institutional constraints on the dual-appointment system to mitigate local fiscal risks.

中文

中国地方政府债务扩张的政治经济学

Pan Liu, Jie Mao, Min Dai

摘要

自20世纪90年代以来,中国通过“双重任命”制度加强了中国共产党对地方人民代表大会的领导,在这一制度下,党委书记同时担任人大常委会主任。本文认为,这一制度增强了党对立法决策的影响力,同时进一步削弱了制度性约束,使地方党委书记能够追求以职业晋升为导向的议程,例如通过借债开展基础设施建设以推动经济增长。在增长优先的发展范式下,这种安排助推了地方政府债务的迅速扩张。总体而言,这些发现为理解中国地方政府债务动态提供了一种政治经济学解释,并凸显了对“双重任命”制度施加更强法律和制度约束以缓释地方财政风险的重要性。

关键词

地方政府债务、政治经济学、双重任命、地方人民代表大会、党委书记、财政风险、经济增长、制度约束