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Explaining China’s High Welfare Spending: Local Models and Drivers of Fiscally Oriented Affordable Housing

CQ 266 pp. 345-364 2026-03-24

Original

Explaining China’s High Welfare Spending: Local Models and Drivers of Fiscally Oriented Affordable Housing

Ge Xin, Hanyu Chen

Abstract

Abstract While the world has been undergoing a global wave of welfare retrenchment since the turn of the 21st century, China’s spending on welfare provision has grown remarkably. Through a comparative study of the public housing provision programmes in two districts within the same municipality, this paper explores models of fiscally oriented public housing provision and their underlying driving forces. Drawing on data from archives, interviews and intensive fieldwork conducted in south-west China from 2014 to 2018, we identify two prominent public housing models: the entrepreneurial model and the extractive model. We propose that the choice of different welfare provision approaches is linked to local fiscal pressures and the target responsibility system. This paper sheds light on the structure of political incentives within China’s local governments in relation to public service provision and explores how local leaders improve public welfare in a non-Western setting.

中文

解释中国的高福利支出:财政导向型保障性住房的地方模式与驱动因素

Ge Xin, Hanyu Chen

摘要

尽管自21世纪之交以来全球经历了一波福利收缩浪潮,中国在福利提供上的支出却显著增长。通过对同一城市内两个区的公共住房供给项目进行比较研究,本文探讨财政导向型公共住房供给的模式及其潜在驱动力。基于2014年至2018年在中国西南地区开展的档案、访谈和密集田野调查数据,我们识别出两种突出的公共住房模式:企业家模式与汲取型模式。我们提出,不同福利提供方式的选择与地方财政压力和目标责任制度相关。本文揭示了与中国地方政府公共服务供给相关的政治激励结构,并探讨了地方领导人在非西方情境下如何改善公共福利。

关键词

中国、福利支出、保障性住房、地方财政压力、目标责任制、地方政府、政治激励、公共住房