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Attitudes Toward Electoral System Reform and Party System Change in the U.S.

APSR pp. 1-24 2026-05-14

Original

Attitudes Toward Electoral System Reform and Party System Change in the U.S.

QUINTON MAYNE, SHANE P. SINGH

Abstract

Electoral reform efforts in the United States are widespread, yet little is known about how Americans evaluate alternative electoral systems or their consequences. We address this gap using conjoint and vignette experiments to study how Americans assess electoral reforms based on their implications for the number of parties and the degree of ideological polarization in the U.S. House of Representatives. Focusing on democratic voice, governability, and responsiveness, our designs emphasize party-system outcomes rather than technical institutional features that may be difficult for citizens to understand. We find that Americans are strongly averse to reforms that generate pronounced legislative polarization, even when it might be expected to enhance democratic voice. Findings pertaining to multipartism are more mixed, with some evidence that respondents respond positively to moderate departures from the two-party system. Perceived gains in voice and responsiveness do not generally compensate for losses in governability, except under arrangements that avoid polarization.

中文

美国民众对选举制度改革与政党体系变迁的态度

QUINTON MAYNE, SHANE P. SINGH

摘要

美国的选举改革努力广泛存在,但人们对美国人如何评价替代性选举制度或其后果知之甚少。我们通过联合实验和情景实验来填补这一空白,研究美国人如何根据选举改革对美国众议院中政党数量与意识形态极化程度的影响来评估这些改革。我们聚焦于民主表达、治理能力与回应性,设计强调政党体系结果,而非公民可能难以理解的技术性制度特征。我们发现,美国人强烈反感那些会导致显著立法极化的改革,即使这种改革可能被预期会增强民主表达。关于多党制的结果则更为混杂,有一些证据表明受访者对偏离两党制的温和变化反应积极。除非在能够避免极化的安排下,感知到的表达与回应性收益通常不足以补偿治理能力方面的损失。

关键词

选举制度改革、政党体系、美国政治、意识形态极化、多党制、联合实验、情景实验、公众态度