Original
Veto players and policy development
Abstract
Abstract We analyze the effects of veto players when the set of available policies is not exogenously fixed, but rather determined by policy developers who work to craft new high‐quality proposals. If veto players are moderate, there is active competition between developers on both sides of the ideological spectrum. However, more extreme veto players induce asymmetric activity, as one side disengages from development. With highly extreme veto players, policy development ceases, and gridlock results. We also analyze effects on centrists' utility. Moderate veto players dampen productive policy development, and extreme ones eliminate it entirely, either of which is bad for centrists. But some effects are surprisingly positive; somewhat extreme veto players can induce policy developers who dislike the status quo to craft moderate, high‐quality proposals. Our model accounts for changing patterns of policymaking in the U.S. Senate and suggests that if polarization continues centrists will become increasingly inclined to eliminate the filibuster.
中文
否决者与政策发展
摘要
我们分析否决者的影响,此时可获得的政策集合并非外生固定,而是由致力于制定新的高质量提案的政策开发者所决定。如果否决者立场温和,意识形态光谱两端的开发者之间会存在积极竞争。然而,否决者越极端,就会诱发不对称的活动,因为其中一方会退出政策开发。当否决者极为极端时,政策发展停止,并导致僵局。我们还分析了对中间派效用的影响。温和的否决者会抑制有成效的政策发展,极端的否决者则完全消除政策发展,二者对中间派都不利。但某些影响出人意料地积极;较为极端的否决者可以促使不喜欢现状的政策开发者制定温和、高质量的提案。我们的模型解释了美国参议院政策制定模式的变化,并表明如果极化持续,中间派将越来越倾向于废除冗长辩论(filibuster)。
关键词
否决者、政策发展、政策制定、美国参议院、冗长辩论、政治极化、中间派、正式模型