Polihot

APSR — pp. 1-21 2026-04-24 Original New Evidence and Design Considerations for Repeated Measure Experiments in Survey Research DIANA JORDAN, TRENT OLLERENSHAW, ANDREW TREXLER Abstract We re-examine recent influential claims that repeated measure experimental designs offer large precision gains without biasing treatment effect estimates in survey research. We test these claims by experimentally varying the design of six classic political science experiments across three distinct large samples of U.S. adults (total $ N=\mathrm{13,163} $ ). In contrast to prior evidence, we observe consistent attenuation of treatment effects in repeated measure designs. However, we show in simulations that this average design effect is small enough, and the precision gains large enough, that we recommend repeated measure designs for broad application—though (large-N) post-only designs may be preferable when research priorities include estimating the precise magnitude of a treatment effect. We additionally explore how several design considerations affect the bias-precision trade-off, such as within-subject versus between-groups designs, the relative separation of repeated measures within single surveys, and differences in respondent characteristics across sample types.

APSR — pp. 1-11 2026-04-24 Original Legislative Effectiveness, Progressive Ambition, and Electoral Success DANIELLE M. THOMSEN, SARAH A. TREUL, CRAIG VOLDEN, ALAN E. WISEMAN Abstract Are effective state lawmakers more likely than ineffective ones to be elected to Congress? We draw on a new dataset of state legislative effectiveness scores from 1993 to 2018 to examine the relationship between lawmaker effectiveness and the decision to run for, and ultimately be elected to, the U.S. House of Representatives. We find that more effective state lawmakers are more likely to enter Congress than ineffective lawmakers. This pattern is due more to the progressive ambition of candidates than to voter decisions. Specifically, within citizen state legislatures, more effective lawmakers are much more likely to run for U.S. House seats than are their less effective counterparts. In highly professional state legislatures, however, more effective lawmakers are more likely to run for Congress only when presented with the opportunity of an open seat. Our analysis finds no relationship between a state legislator’s lawmaking effectiveness and their likelihood of winning primary or general House elections.

JCC — pp. 1-15 2026-04-24 Original Dual Authoritative Mediation: Policing and Community Governance in Urban China Gang Tian, Wen-Hsuan Tsai Abstract The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) is employing mechanisms inspired by the ‘Fengqiao experience’ to mediate grassroots conflicts. Our findings show that in urban areas, community support officers from the People’s Police have played a critical role in this task. They liaise with residents’ committees and other relevant units to conduct ‘dual authoritative mediation’. This practice reflects the roles of the police as holders of state authority and paternal figures in the community, and it promotes the deep penetration of state power into grassroots communities. The role of the police in mediating disputes between residents is highly valued by the CCP, and China’s police force has been given more responsibility with respect to politics and law and the maintenance of stability than police in other countries.

PAR — 2026-04-24 Original Contracting Services for Response to Extreme Weather Events in Public Organizations Tipeng Chen, Eric W. Welch Abstract ABSTRACT Public organizations facing emergencies often coordinate with other local public and non‐profit organizations for assistance. Yet we know little about the contractual relationships public organizations build with external organizations for emergency responses. Drawing from organizational theories, we explore organizational factors behind public organization decisions to contract for responses to extreme weather events. Using agency‐level data merged from three national sources, we find an inverted U‐shaped relationship between organizational uncertainty about extreme weather events and contracting for immediate emergency responses: contracting is most likely at a moderate level of uncertainty and least likely at a very high level. Greater reliance on contracting for daily services is associated with increased contracting for long‐term emergency planning, while receipt of dedicated financial resources is associated with increased contracting for both immediate emergency responses and long‐term emergency planning. We connect findings with the contracting and emergency management literatures and discuss implications for practice.

PMR — pp. 1-32 2026-04-23 Original Discovering the labyrinth: the complex interplay of values conflicts and the voicing dilemmas of street-level bureaucrats Yean Wang, Yixin Wu, Changyu Fan, Zixiang Xie, Guanghuai Zheng

PA — 2026-04-22 Original Policymakers' Preferences Over Public–Private Modes of Service Delivery and Credit‐Claiming: Experimental Evidence

PMR — pp. 1-27 2026-04-22 Original New Public Governance, neo-corporatism, and health policy: status quo, constraints, and future directions Benjamin Ewert Abstract This paper examines the prospects of New Public Governance (NPG) within Germany’s neo-corporatist health system, focusing on institutional fit, practical barriers, and reform trajectories. While NPG promotes participation, collaboration, and co-creation, its application is constrained by power imbalances and limited cross-sector permeability. Using Integrated Care and Health in All Policies as examples, the paper highlights both partial alignment with NPG principles and structural resistance. Four future scenarios illustrate possible governance pathways. This paper contributes to public management research by showing how NPG reforms interact with entrenched governance modes and emphasizing the role of meta-governance and civic engagement.

PA — 2026-04-22 Original Navigating the Algorithmic State: Public Values and Citizens' Preferences of AI ‐Driven Public Service Delivery

PAR — 2026-04-21 Original When Do Citizens Support Corrupt Politicians? The Trade‐Offs Between Corruption and Competence

JCC — pp. 1-18 2026-04-21 Original Diplomatic Bifurcation: China’s Dual Narratives on the Russia–Ukraine War in Global Times